Identification Of Risk Factors Affecting Infrastructure Projects In Complex Geopolitical Context: Application To Palestine

Abstract

Infrastructure projects in countries with high geopolitical risk (CHGR) face unique and significant challenges. This study addresses the need for a comprehensive risk identification framework by developing a Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS) tailored for these contexts. Through a mixed-method approach that integrates an extensive literature review with a detailed analysis of historical project data, this study systematically identifies and classifies critical risk factors. The research categorizes risks into 13 areas, with the most significant being geopolitical and logistical, such as outbreaks of hostilities, border closures, and restrictions on movement and material entry. The findings provide a practical tool for project managers and donors to proactively identify and manage risks, thereby improving project outcomes in politically complex environments.